Will The Warmer Months Prove To Idle Back CoVid-19 Spread—Too Soon To Predict

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Just last month, President Trump asserted that when the summer months arrive, along with the heat, that the current coronavirus cases will drop as the virus will dissipate.  However, experts in infectious disease responded with much skepticism on this issue.

The virus is still in its infancy, having only been known to be active for three months.  As such, experts really can't say for sure if the change in seasons from winter to the warmer spring and summer months will, in fact, cause the virus to dissipate as other respiratory viruses have been known to do.

With that said, now researchers are looking that the possibility that not so much heat but humidity may prove to be a significant component in stemming the virus's current ability to spread via person-to-person transmission.  Although the possibility is currently being looked into, it is far away from being officially validated.

Dr. Alan Evangelista, microbiology and virology professor, has spent eight years studying the particles that make up current influenza and common coronaviruses.  

According to his recent research data, there is an indication that: “the small and overall composition of the novel coronavirus particle is similar to other coronaviruses we have tested.”

This data may shed some light on not just how the virus itself spreads, but also may indicate just how it may and will die out.  The information that is being gleaned from the data is that it appears that the virus transmission is much more common and efficient when in drier and colder conditions.  

On the other hand, a humid type environment seems to inhibit the transmission.

Although we still do not know much about CoVid-19, the CDC is still maintaining that the primary method of transmission from person-to-person is by way of the respiratory droplets that are produced when an infected individual coughs or sneezes.  These droplets are then either inhaled or transferred to the person, via the fact that they can linger for up to 9 days on most surfaces, via touching their face or mouth.

The though that humidity may play a part in the reduction of the virus lies in the fact that as the humidity increases in warmer months, the size of the droplets containing the virus becomes much larger and will settle in the open air much more quickly.  

Experts do caution that there are no guarantees or absolutes that the coronavirus will, in fact, behave as other known coronaviruses have in the past, but then again, there is the fact that the laws of physics should still apply.

Will the coronavirus scale back in the warmer months as other viruses do?